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Creating Generational Legacies

Sunday, August 2, 2020

Is there a massive disruption about to occur in the bloated University Sector?






An overdue disruption is going to hit the Universities  in a massive way - and in my view - VET - (vocational education) will be the disruptor!


Coronavirus has shuttered in-person schooling, which has forced students online. - Yet, Universities want to still charge the same fee.  


The 'emperor has no clothes' moment for the ridiculously bloated  'education industry' draws near.  


People are beginning to finally figure out how little value (or even negative value) they are getting for their money, combined with the acceleration of technological alternatives and Moore’s Law! 


Employers will start hiring entry-level candidates without degrees and  will be put in clusters of  on-site training programs. 


In return for getting the brightest and the best candidates - their Vocational training will be superb and relevant to the job at hand! 


They will be mentored and commit to three years of employment, so that their resume is sufficiently solid in the absence of the university credential.  


This is effectively the same as a military style “basic training and a 3 year national service” 


As long as other Organisations  recognize the training from the Employer  as valid, the graduates will circulate throughout the Economy , and the Universities will then be aligned to Corporates - and paid on commercial terms.


Connections made at  Universities 


The premise that the 'contacts' they make at a university are more valuable than the contacts they make in their first three years at their Employers  (could be organisations such as Google, Amazon, Atlassian, BSI or Tesla ) sounds absurd.


Has this  long-overdue correction of a massive resource misallocation may finally be upon us?


Who will be the player to stream education at the same cost as other streams - such as Netflix , Bloomberg, Foxtel and others?


Is this part of the #NexttechRevolution? 


Inspired by Kartik Gada  https://www.singularity2050.com/2020/08/atom-award-of-the-month-august-2020.html


Some great insites from the Author - Kartik Gada


The Coronavirus pandemic might just have blasted through the inertia of resistance.


There is no greater indicator of disruption than incumbents saying 'you can't put a price on what WE do!' .     


Overall, the puncturing of this bubble will greatly increase the diffusion of actual education (as distinct from credentialism) throughout society.  It also has manifold international effects.  

Thursday, July 23, 2020

The Nexttech Revolution - lifelong learning - There is an opportunity to ride the wave of lifelong learning




This morning there was a great interview on the radio with Jennifer Westacott, Business Council of Australia chief executive Jennifer Westacott, and look forward to her presenting at our Nexttech Transformation Forum.


There is an opportunity to ride the wave of lifelong learning . 


Massive value for little or no cost - a formula that sits well with me! 


It is abundantly clear - that there are  significant challenges and disruption that we as a nation are facing from the changing nature of work, increasing automation, the decline of some traditional industries, and proliferation of others.


There is a Nexttech Revolution going on - where opportunities will abound - and education for all has a fundamentally important role  for our economy to survive and thrive.


Jennifer highlighted chefs and jobs in construction, telecommunications, technology, healthcare, aged care and disability services are all vocational training qualified jobs and they will all be in high demand.


Our society needs to be learner centered, embracing the  multiple styles of learning, and values practical, creative and emotional intelligence as equal to academic intelligence.


Australia has  the opportunity to be at the forefront of lifelong learning 

Australia has a fantastic foundation of its Higher Education - both with its Universities and its Vocational Education Infrastructure, giving every Australian the opportunity to upskill and embrace lifelong learning.


We as a nation have the opportunity to embrace the concept of life-long learning - enabling us to ride the wave of the 4th revolution and ensure progress for all.


Support from Government , Institutions and Private Enterprise 

A spokeswoman for the Victorian government said it welcomed moves to bring businesses, workers and all levels of government together to rebuild the economy.


"Building a stronger training and skills sector, that upskill and reskill our nation , will be central to rebuilding our economy over the coming years “


Scott Morrison said he was "very interested and very committed to investing more in a better system" 


We at Nexttech, BSI and BBG look forward to playing a prt in the initiative of bringing lifelong learning into the DNA of every Australian Citizen


So, who is Jennifer Westacott?

Jennifer has been Chief Executive of the Business Council of Australia since 2011, bringing extensive policy experience in both the public and private sectors. 


For over 20 years Jennifer occupied critical leadership positions in the New South Wales and Victorian governments. 


She was  Director of Housing and the Secretary of Education in Victoria, and most recently was the Director-General of the New South Wales Department of Infrastructure, Planning and Natural Resources.


Jennifer has long argued that


Jennifer believes it creates the single biggest platform to reduce inequality.


For our economy and nation to survive and thrive , Jennifer suggests we embrace Continuous Learning .

How to survive and thrive with an entirely remote workforce. How do you work together when you are, in fact, alone?



Mike Walsh talks to 

Didier Elzinga, CEO of Culture Amp

Wade Foster, CEO of Zapier and 

Sandeep Dadlani, the company’s Chief Digital Officer


 and has an article published in HBR 

He identifies 3 components necessary for the succesful transition to a digital workforce 

Communication, Structure and Data


1. Communication is key 


The need to communicate effectively is key 


Didier Elzinga, CEO of Culture Amp says that they have  created a daily situation room, where they track everything that’s changed overnight, internal to the business, as well as  in the external world.


It  is then published on an open channel on Slack. 


At Nexttech Learning  - there is a daily meetup and weekly meetup - with structure - and detailed reporting .


A huge advantage of working centrally is the interpretation of body language, non-verbal agreement, and interpersonal connections 


when you work remotely you require a different kind of attention 


Who makes decisions?


How can you problem solve ?


when you can’t see your team, 

when you’re not sure what’s happening, 

when you don’t know if they’re at work or not


Everything needs to be trust based and outcomes based - and data is the pathway  to making things work . 


2. Structure is key 

Wade Foster, CEO of Zapier, says that when it comes to building trust, a little bit of structure goes a long way. At Zapier, distributed teams use a framework called DACI, which stands for driver, approver, consulted, and informed. 


Anyone involved in a decision will play one of four roles: a person responsible for driving the work and collecting the relevant data; an approver who gives the go-ahead; consultants who can provide expert opinions; and finally the informed, who need to know about the outcome because it impacts the work that they do. 


Knowing decision roles upfront speeds up team interactions and avoids ambiguities that can cause delays or friction.


Transparency is critical at both of these organisations. 


3. Data is key 


Major decisions at Zapier are documented in a decision log called Async, which is an internal tool that they built. The purpose of Async is to surface important conversations that might get lost in fast-paced Slack forums. It replaces internal email and acts as a searchable archive for anyone on the team to reference old discussions and keep up with company updates. 


According to Foster, Slack is where the teams at Zapier talk about work, while Async is where they share work with the rest of the team.


In this respect, distributed organizations are typically ahead of more traditional ones — where documentation can be sparse or buried in private email chains. 


“In theory,” explains Foster, “this means we should get better at making decisions over time because everyone can benefit from the organizational decision-making muscle.”


Supply Chain at Mars 


Week six of Covid buying groceries online had become 15% of the American market,


The old supply chain 


Sandeep Dadlani, the company’s Chief Digital Officer - 

“Our supply chains are built of wonderful leaders who have known each other for many years, who pat each other on the back, and who know how things run because they’re in the factories. They watch the trucks, pick up the phone, and get calls from the retailers. They nudge their other friends and workers to push another batch out or to get another production line changed.” 


But, as the crisis accelerated, there was a behavioral shift. Now that the logistics and technology teams have lost their in-location perspective of the supply chain and can only access raw data about inventory, supplies, materials, and packaging, their interactions have changed. 


Conversations between remote team members have become more focused and less subjective, productivity has improved, decisions have become more data-driven, and new, more probing questions are being asked: “Why is inventory at this level? Can the raw materials in these factories be moved elsewhere? Can we drive a higher throughput?” It was, in other words, what the digital transformation team had been trying to achieve for some time.


“Organizations like ours have to pivot to identify trends, pick the right business models, fail a few times, and then succeed,” he says. “At Mars, we call it the Digital Engine: find the problem, solve the problem, and then scale the solution as fast as we can.”


Notwithstanding the importance of agility and response time, as companies and teams become more digital, there is a corresponding need for leaders to be able to grasp the nuances and risks of data-driven thinking. 


We need to upskill in statistics and  data literacy


Data literacy needs  dedicated training and education. 


At Mars, Dadlani was shocked when an email intended for his technology team inviting them to a course on machine learning accidentally went out to thousands of employees at the firm, and — much to his surprise — many of those unintended recipients showed up, which changed his thinking about how ready everyone in the organization was to take on the challenges of new technology.


Foster has actively encouraged data literacy programs at Zapier, offering employees a five-part mini-course called The Golden Path to Data, which provides training on using data tools, creating queries, and interpreting results. 


As a further incentive to upgrade skills, requests to the data team are prioritized for people who have actually done the course.


Every team needs  a data power user in it, which can help the team respond to new questions and challenges faster. And that increases the decision-making velocity that’s happening inside the organization.”


Data will never be a substitute for genuine social interactions or company culture, but as we build more global, distributed, and virtual organizations, what it offers is something just as important: a common language for transformation.



110-Mike-Walsh.jpeg

Mike Walsh is the author of The Algorithmic Leader: How to Be Smart When Machines Are Smarter Than You. Walsh is the CEO of Tomorrow, a global consultancy on designing companies for the 21st century.

Wednesday, July 22, 2020

Drones as a first response - the NextTech Revolution




Ambulance drones - response time from 10mis to 1 min 
Life saving chance from 8pc to 80pc 

Thursday, July 16, 2020

The 4th Revolution - how do we get ready?





This article was inspired by Rocky Scopelliti who shared this article on LinkedIn 


https://www.futurithmic.com/2019/02/13/industry-4-0-could-create-millions-new-jobs/



So what is the 4th revolution?


This type of intelligent, interconnected ecosystem  of mobile, cloud computing, analytics, automation, artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of Things (IoT), 3D printing, autonomous robots, and augmented- and virtual reality (AR/VR) has been dubbed the fourth industrial revolution.


These technologies will  add accuracy, efficiency, productivity and personalized customer service to business and industry in unprecedented ways and  will lower the cost of doing business.


A 2017 Accenture study estimated the average U.S. company could save $85,000 per employee


A McKinsey Global Institute study estimated  that intelligent automation technologies could save employers worldwide a staggering $15 trillion in wages by 2030.


Jobs displaced …


McKinsey concluded, estimated between 400 and 800 million current occupations could be displaced by 2030 - including 

  • physical labor, 
  • data collection/processing, 
  • manufacturing, 
  • retail, and accommodation/
  • food services


We’ve been here before with the advent of PCs, Mobile and Internet transforming how and where people work. 


… Jobs created


The World Economic Forum (WEF) Future of Jobs report in 2018 predicted strong employment growth in emerging sectors like AI, robotics and blockchain – but also in non-tech positions such as customer service, sales, marketing, training and skills development.



McKinsey estimates that between 1980 and 2015, the introduction of the PC displaced 3.5 million jobs in the U.S.  — but also created 19.2 million new ones in the #Nexttechrevolution 


Growth Industries

  • elderly care, 
  • green technology, 
  • Training 
  • consumer goods and services


Will the 4th Industrial Revolution  will create more jobs than it destroys over the coming 10 years ?


McKinsey says yes ....estimating overall creation of 555 to 890 million new jobs by 2030.


… What we need to do 


There will need to be significant workplace transformation


McKinsey estimates 75 to 375 million people will have to switch occupations and learn new skills by 2030.


“It is critical that governments , businesses and individuals need to take an active role in reskilling and upskilling. 


  • Individuals need to take a proactive approach to their own lifelong learning
  • Governments and Enterprises need to create an enabling environment.


Workers need to learn to work alongside  machines – which will increase productivity, employment  and create abundance.


As Heather McGowan says - the key is to teach our children to learn how to learn!


Lifelong learning will be a part of the DNA of every human and machine in the workforce!


- #australia2030 #industry4 #skills #reskilling #jobs #technology #digital #data #artificialintelligence #datascience #stem #science #engineering #humanresources #futureofwork


Other articles to read 


https://www.futurithmic.com/2019/07/09/from-killer-robots-to-automated-colleagues/


Tuesday, July 14, 2020

Five Engagement GemsThat Make a Difference and creates Resilience in your team



Rob Nankervis "Unsurprisingly in this COVID moment, Gallup analytics are finding unprecedented spikes in daily worry and stress, while overall percentages of people "thriving" have dropped to Great Recession-era lows. 

It takes an exceptional level of resilience for organizations and employees to thrive in such an uncertain and radically disrupted climate. Check out this article for the five key elements that drive engagement. "



Rob shares an interesting article from Jm Harter of Gallup - that identifies 5 ways in which a firm can build a culture of resilience with their team https://www.gallup.com/workplace/311270/culture-resilient-enough-survive-coronavirus.aspx

They are


  1.  Setting Clear and realistic expectations. During tough times, employees need managers who reset priorities, involve them in reestablishing their goals and constantly clarify their role relative to their coworkers.
  2. Having the right technology and tools. Employees need the right tools  to get work done - this will minimize stress and improve performance.
  3. Leveraging one's strengths Playing to your strengths is the difference between moving toward opportunity and falling victim to circumstances.
  4. To connect to the mission or purpose of the organisation. During a crisis, people need to see how they, and their work, fit into the bigger picture -- how can they impact something significant and know their work matters?
  5. Committed to quality work - There is no room for slack in a crisis. All team members must be dedicated to high-quality, efficient work. It is equally essential that teams within an organisation rely on and respect one another's work.



Non- Expert Opinion l of How to treat Covid-19 and Predictions - from Dr David Gotlieb - Cape Town Résident - x - Bulawayo Boy!





David’s Covid opinion update to my article from April this year.

Covid update - July 14 2020.

My article from April, remains as relevant now as when I wrote it.
This represents an update opinion on how I see it.

Treatment of Covid-19

I still am a hydroxy/chlo supporter, and a recent study supported it.
The previous studies were at excessive doses and showed some cardio toxicity.
However normal doses are safe.

 The following 9 step process is a possible effective treatment 

  • If exposed AND develop symptoms start plasmoquine one daily. Continue until better.
  • If start a cough..start azithromycin one daily for 6 days
  • If become breathlessness..you would need admission and at that time steroids can be started.
  • I would only use the cortisone in hospital use.
  • NB - I would also use a cardiovascular dose ecotrin or aspirin if symptomatic.
  • In hospital low molecular weight heparins should be added to aspirin for more comprehensive anticoagulation.
  • Oxygen is important monitoring sats, and ventilators are at extremis of coping.
  • If cytokine storm I recommend possible use of IL6 inhibitor, Actemra, but in hospital and under supervision and preferably intravenous.
  • Post covid autoimmune disease must require corticosteroid plus immunosuppressants.

The Global Prediction

All models and experts have dissapointed.

My non expert opinion is that it’s about the deaths not case numbers.

Analysis seems to show a curve peaking at 2 months and lasting 4 months at which death rates drop despite case numbers.

So USA should be much better in terms of mortality risk at mid to end September.

There is NO vaccine coming.

The virus will become less virulent despite contagion over time and will disappear in the next 6 months with a short less toxic resurgence next February.

The South African Prediction

Cape Town mortality is going to have peaked by now and subside end August, early sept 2020.
Gauteng mortality will subside 6 weeks after Cape Town.
Our lives and economies will slowly recover over the next year, except South Africa will be economically devastated.
We will be in trouble and it’s going to be hard.


April 19 Opinion on Covid-19

Thoughts regarding the Corona Epidemic...


Harsh Realities 


There are some terrible harsh realities that the world must accept.


The virus is NOT going away.


The lockdown has been in place, but made us realize that new case numbers persist, and that we are delusional to think we are going to kill this virus.


The lockdown will NOT get rid of the virus.


To this end we have to accept certain realities.



How to cope 


It’s not about getting rid of the virus, it’s about understanding that we will NOT get rid of it for the next year, or more, as it burns it’s way across the world, until we gradually develop a resistance, or even better, some REAL treatments or vaccines against it.


Unfortunately, we will have to literally start normalizing the consequences of the virus. Some people are going to die and we can only do our best to treat them as they come. We have to accept that it’s an ongoing risk for all of us especially the elderly, and social distancing will be needed for the at risk populations.


Other diseases and conditions will also need treatment, and we will see a rebound in these as people start to bring their complaints to the hospitals again.


A country as a whole, and its people, as individuals, cannot continue to exist without income.


We have to resume life and the economy, and the politicians have to start to verbalize this TRUTH. 


This TRUTH, is that the virus is NOT going away for a long time, and that some, but in fact, relatively few people, are going to die, compared to the numbers of infections.


It is VERY important to reassure people that the overwhelming majority of people, in fact more than 95% will be fine.


The virus is much more prevalent than people realise.


Spread is already much more than realized, due to failure to count asymptomatic individuals.


The virus is therefore even LESS lethal than thought, since the true ratio of mortality is overestimated, by not including the asymptomatic, as yet, unknown numbers.


Blame 

Politically...there will be blame: 


Trump? China ? Media? 


To a degree the media have stirred up emotions, and influenced the world reaction into ongoing lockdowns and staggering destruction of economies, that are leading to incredible poverty, the consequences of which, are still to come.


NO country or government could have been prepared for this.


The expert advisors, ie Dr Fauci, amongst others, did NOT know what the realities of this virus are. There WAS no experience on this issue.


Models were and are still, all wrong, because there has NEVER been a similar problem. 


The lockdowns have not worked to CURE the virus. 


The lockdowns did work in one respect...they lowered the curve of acute admissions and bought time, and enabled the systems to develop a better public health coping ability.


It’s about managing the EXPECTATIONS of the public. 


The virus will be NOT be GONE  in The short or medium term.


The lockdown has only enabled healthcare to cope by lowering the rapid spread and mass presentation of acute illness 


But the time of lockdowns has passed.


It’s about Hope 


There needs to be hope!! 


Hope is a human requirement

So what is going to happen?


The virus will stay in the communities, until either natural resistance increases, or less likely, a vaccine is developed.


The virus will spread and many people will get sick, but MOST will be fine.


Some people who are at risk will get the virus, and regrettably may not survive.


We have to accept that it’s an ongoing risk for all of us especially the elderly, and social distancing will be needed for these at risk populations.


The economies will have to open up.

  • Life will go on.
  • Humanity will survive.
  • Hopefully humanity will learn from this.


Humanity must henceforth look after the entire planet including wildlife, the environment and preserve it.

People need to learn the fundamentals of life, especially togetherness and caring and thought for the less fortunate.


There is hope, because at the end, hope is all we as a species have.


The road ahead is going to be very hard.Keep strong. Keep safe. Hold on to your hope.And for those who have faith...keep that too!


David Gotlieb.

Physician, Rheumatologist.

Cape Town.

April 19th 2020.