Wednesday, November 1, 2017
Friday, October 27, 2017
Biofuel for Aviation

Saturday, October 21, 2017
China is winning the race of electric vehicles
Written by Geoffrey Handley
As Tesla’s value continues to rise, it is easy to once again (and incorrectly) assume that leadership of this sector resides in the West.
It doesn't.
More often than not, food is delivered to my home in Shanghai by one of Meituan.com's 200,000 (yep! two hundred thousand.) strong delivery crew, every single one of them riding electric scooters.
1 Company
200k Staff
ALL ON ELECTRIC VEHICLES
Meituan is just one player in a very competitive space. In this regard, they're not unique. Electric scooters aren't their ‘thing’ or part of their brand or USP.
In China, electric vehicles are table stakes, status quo.
It's part of the infrastructure. Not only Meituan or their competitors in food delivery, but for everyone.
As consumers, most Chinese have never been faced with the decision of whether or not to go electric.
For years now electric has been and still is, the first - and for many - the only vehicle option.
All while the rest of the world continues to debate not only climate science but the inherent and obvious consumer and economic benefits of electric vehicles. And once again, putting whatever imaginary "rights" ahead of our very real and actual "responsibilities."
In much the same way that this current first generation of digital or digital-first natives shape our future globally, when it comes to vehicles, transport, infrastructure and the culture of electric, intelligent and autonomous, China and Chinese are our planet's first electric natives.
From an industry perspective I am reminded of a Q&A session w/Jack Ma. When asked about the many differences between Amazon and Alibaba, he talked scale, pointing out the running and capex costs associated with maintaining an ever growing fleet of petrol guzzling vehicles vs an efficient electric army.
Logistics costs passed onto the consumer or borne by the shareholder throttling scale, even for giants.
The differences are huge. Aside from the obvious - electric being cheaper to run vs gas:
- Costs to hedge or maintain actual petrol reserves.
- Wear and tear, time / cost inefficient maintenance, service and spare parts.
- Reliance on and on-going training of this service workforce in what is essentially dead tech.
- Safety implications through capped / hardwired speed limits.
- Actual capex cost of the fleet, whether your own or 3rd party.
All in all an inefficient waste of time, mind and capital solely to prop up an inefficient dead man walking industry out of self-serving nepotism, or worse, lack of will and foresight. Zombie rent seeking much?
Amazon is one of the main faces of the future in the West, a symbol of tomorrow. In that respect, when the torch bearer for leading and changing the world for the better is reliant on outdated, extractive and destructive methods of the past, it doesn't really shout “let’s hear it for tomorrow!” does it….
Arguments around laws, legislation, subsidies, or even dare I say it, technology are not the solve. It's culture, pure and simple.
Culture is the character and personality of your organization - company or country. It's what makes your group unique and is the sum of its values, traditions, beliefs, interactions, behaviors, and attitudes. Culture is at the bedrock of it all and the laws, legislations, subsidies are just outputs produced by the people all defined by it.
And China's culture as the planet's first electric transport native nation is the reason why the country is dominating this space.
A culture that is tangible and global, as demonstrated last week by the most Swedish of Swedish brands, Volvo, announcing that it will only produce electrified cars - in line with their Chinese parent Geely.
Let's not forget, culture is, after all, the most valuable competitive advantage and a massive force multiplier.
That is why China has and will continue to drive our electric and autonomous future.
#ChinaMatters
Ik research after this article :-
The goal is to have 5 million electric vehicles on the nation's roads by 2020, thus making China a pacesetter in the field, is a tall order, but measures now being unfolded make it clear that the government means business. Such success will not only help rid big cities of smog, but also put the country on track to honor a pledge it made a year ago to reduce its carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP by 60 percent to 65 percent of the 2005 level by 2030.
Six years ago China surpassed Japan as the world's biggest carmaker. A year later it became the world's biggest car market, and the country's new energy car market now seems to be on the cusp of pulling off a similar feat. In the first seven months of this year about 90,000 new energy vehicles were sold in China, compared with about 63,000 in the US, the China Association of Auto Manufacturers says.
Thursday, October 19, 2017
Are bank days numbered?

Wednesday, October 18, 2017
Why the #Retailpocolypse
So, chain retailers are closing up shop as an alarming rate. Just last week, Sears announced it was closing more stores, and Claire’s once the per sq ft profit leader in mall-based retailing filed for bankruptcy. This week, post-bankruptcy, Gymboree announced it is shutting 350 stores.
(Ik comment :- In Australia - Laura Ashley, Topshop, and many other smaller retailers failing. in South Africa - Stuttafords department store )
What in tarnation is going on here? Is this seriously all Amazon’s fault?
The fall of mall based retail is based on a couple of things.
First, media consumption has changed dramatically. In the mall heyday (80s-90s), retail media was largely driven by local media advertising (TV, radio, print). In that paradigm, anchor stores (Macy’s, Lord & Taylor, Sears, etc.) were able to capture a huge share of consumer attention and shape their product desires. The anchor would advertise, drive foot-traffic, and all of the stores in the mall benefitted. Media today has changed – it is no longer possible for an anchor to own a market. Consequently, anchors can have less influence in the media market and can compel less traffic. That hurts the overall mall experience because the smaller stores suffer disproportionately.
2. big Box Retail - passe
Big box retail (stand-alone stores like Best Buy) are predicated on a prolonged suburban flight. Their sense of “destination shopping” was built up around bigger and better homeownership (more rooms = more stuff to buy). The flight away from cities has slowed dramatically. More families are staying in or very near cities where the concept of a “big box” store is not feasible due to both space and cost constraints.
3. Ecommerce and Amazon
E-Commerce has been a huge factor, but it isn’t determinative. Let’s assume that 10% of all retail is e-commerce. Further, let’s assume that half of that (5%) belongs to Amazon. 1% goes to online only retailers (Wayfair, etc.). The remainder is traditional retail moved online. So, 6% has moved completely away from traditional retail – the market may have shrunk, relatively speaking, for traditional retail. But that is a 6% decline in 15 years (since e-commerce became “a thing”), but again, that is relative because overall, retail grows 1-3% annually. So, at worst, the relative retail market is 94% as big as it was pre-ecommerce, and at best, it is a wash and the relative market is flat for the last 15 years.
4. Private equity investment - not growing - they want out
The reason why e-commerce isn’t determinative lies in the nature of what has been keeping chain retail afloat for a long time – private equity. From Staples recently selling to Sycamore Partners to a thousand other retail stories, retail has been propped up by private equity. Those kinds of purchases are usually highly-leveraged (meaning that there is a lot of debt to be paid). The debt service required in these kinds of transactions puts huge strain on a companies cashflow. In times of strong growth, it is not an issue. But economic growth has been at a crawl since 2008, therefore debt-fueled expansion has been treacherous. And for most retailers, margins are very skinny. So with little pricing power, most retailers have seen declining margins, slower growth and fixed debt service. This is NOT a recipe for success.
5. The retail experience sucks - Customer Service is Lousy
The retail experience is lousy. As companies fight through those rising fixed costs (real estate, etc.) and declining margins, they have deprecated the on-floor retail experience. In an effort to streamline costs and operations, retail has kept pay to a minimum and at the same time diminished the autonomy of the job. Therefore, retail is filled with poorly paid workers who are forced to stay inside a very small box. Here is a news flash – nobody wants that job, so the only people who take that job are those who have the fewest options.Therefore the quality of the retail experience declines rapidly. And to be clear, it is not the fault of the employees, but rather the system in which they work. But ultimately, shoppers do not respond well to terrible experiences and they vote with their dollars.
6. Logistics and delivery to your door has improved
UPS & FedEx (as well as the huge leaps forward in flat-pack technologies meaning more things can be shipped) have become dramatically better at logistics, and relative costs (dollars per pound shipped) have dwindled. Superior delivery logistics have enhanced the e-commerce experience to the point where practically anything can be at your doorstep in 2 days or less from dozens of sellers. Consequently, we see fewer consumers willing to put up with terrible retail experiences when they can get their desired products with a modicum of inconvenience.
7. younger consumers want more - they are in control - not the mall
Younger consumers are different. Since younger consumers (those >45) have a lifetime of digital media consumption, they respond to different stimuli. The Macy’s 1-Day sale strategy where Macy’s could own the discussion, as we talked about in #1, is over. But today’s consumer is more influenced by non-advertising influences than ever before. When I was young, MTV was a huge product demand driver. But even that was fairly centralized. With media consumption widely dispersed, even an ardent watcher of broadcast television with its 16-20 minutes of every hour chock full of ads likely sees more non-advertising driven influences every day. From YouTube celebrities to Instagram feeds to the obscure interest-driven discussion forum, consumers are bombarded with more and varied influences to shape their purchase desires. Therefore, their retail dollars are more dispersed. They spend in more places and across more brands than ever before. The traditional mall-based or specialty retailer cannot stock a wide enough selection to accommodate the widely influenced product desires of a non-mainstream media audience. This diminishes the power that larger retail brands have in the marketplace.
8. The 2008 crash
2008 happened. The housing market crashed. Real wages declined. Credit became tighter. And almost a decade later, we are still talking about economic recovery. 2008, for a small percentage of the population, drove real and meaningful change in the buying habits of Americans. Add that to poor job growth in the low end of the white collar world and the increased debt faced by those with student loans, and we have a portion of the population with less disposable income than before. While the impact of those consumers may not dramatically reshape the market, it will have pockets of dramatic impact. If we also consider that birth rates in the US have dropped in the last decade, there is a portion of the younger workforce who are, in real terms, poorer than ever, and they are having fewer children. Spending on children is a huge economic driver. Fewer babies to people with fewer means results in fewer purchases.
9. We are busy - no time
We are busier now than ever before. In the US, we work longer hours, take fewer vacations and feel more stressed than ever. Regardless if true, we feel more time pressure than ever before, therefore we are less likely to view shopping as a regular leisure activity. If it doesn’t feel fun to go shopping at a mall or a store, we are just less likely to do it.
10. Entertainment and toys have gone digital
The world of digital has reshaped entertainment. While anecdotal, see if this story doesn’t ring true. Kids used to play with toys. After a while, toys would get dull and they would get replaced. However, phones and tablets, in many ways, have replaced a portion of the toy spectrum. Rather than purchasing a $15 game, or a $30 toy, my kids spend $0.99 on a new app. That take dollars away from retail and slides them into the pockets of Apple, Google & Amazon (and developers) rather than to the cash registers at Target, ToysRUs or others. We have replaced physical stuff, to some extent, with digital stuff. And while the impact might be small, it adds to the issues of slow growth and rising costs for retailers (from #4).
Whew.
PS: This was originally published on my blog, timkilroy.com - 10 Random Thoughts on the Retailpocalyse. I invite you to follow me there, or check out more marketing-focused content at my other endeavor, SellingToTheC.com where I spout off a lot about e-commerce marketing.
Monday, October 2, 2017
9 major disruptions going through major disruption to 2050
Education - 1 of 9 industries going through major disruption
Interesting Insite from ATOM http://atom.singularity2050.com/3-technological-disruption-is-pervasive-and-deepening.html
Automation and outsourcing are causing industries to vanish - employees are being laid off - being forced to find jobs at half their current salary.... if in fact there are jobs ....
and the old economy Is transferring to the gig economy.
One can no longer depend on one job and one source of income - based on the current rate of change - that job will likely be obsolete in a short while.
The average person will have 14 different careers after school - and skill sets of those jobs will be taught on the job.
So
Schools and universities need to focus on the skillset of learning to learn and how to nurture relationships and communication .... ie soft skills.
Education, both higher and lower, is being disrupted by the day.
Many universities with bloated cost structures and excessive administrative personnel will be
disrupted by companies that have produced courses and even entire degrees that can be completed online and in a work environment at a fraction of the cost of an in-residence degree and without the need for relocation.
Employers such as Google have moved quickly to recognize these alternatives as legitimate substitutes to traditional credentials when evaluating potential hires.
Degrees are becoming redundant - it's where you have worked before that is becoming relevant .
Sunday, September 24, 2017
What happens in an internet minute in 2017?

- Jeff DesjardinsFounder and editor of Visual Capitalist
Just a month ago, it was revealed that Facebook has more than two billion active monthly users. That means that in any given month, more than 25% of Earth’s population logs in to their Facebook account at least once.
This kind of scale is almost impossible to grasp.
Here’s one attempt to put it in perspective: imagine Yankee Stadium’s seats packed with 50,000 people, and multiply this by a factor of 40,000. That’s about how many different people log into Facebook every month worldwide.
A smaller window
The Yankee Stadium analogy sort of helps, but it’s still very hard to picture.
The scale of the internet is so great, that it doesn’t make sense to look at the information on a monthly basis, or even to use daily figures.
Instead, let’s drill down to just what happens in just one internet minute:

Created each year by Lori Lewis and Chadd Callahan of Cumulus Media, the above graphic shows the incredible scale of e-commerce, social media, email, and other content creation that happens on the web.
Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Etherium and blockchain - the future?
https://techcrunch.com/2017/09/18/ethereum-will-replace-visa-in-a-couple-of-years-says-founder/
Vitalik Buterin - the dude who created Etherium 3 years ago at the age of 19, talks with Naval Ravikant - Founder and CEO of Angellist.....
The bottom line - Blockchain will be creating a disruption in the financial industries - and I can see why banks are nervous .
Naval likens crypto currencies to a brain virus - once you know how they work that's all you think about!
Buterin segments the world into those that who’s already heard of bitcoin and those who haven't
So - What is a Crypto currency?
"A peer to peer digital currency - a Platform for distributed applications in a trusted decentralised way . "
"It's a system to record how much money has been spent and by whom ...How much money a person has the right to spend at any given time "
"A central database to store how much money everyone in the blockchain has" - but the genius is how to create this in a decentralised way - where there is no "central server"
"A decentralised system that contains some type of shared memory"
Etherium is a bunch of decentralised applications that can be created to account for transactions
Vitalik likened the base of a crypto to a vending machine - A vending machine encoded a set of rules -you put $2 in machine - water comes out - you don't and water comes out - that's Bad - you do and water comes out - that's good .
Can replace money Wall Street , protocols , visa - within 5-10 years
Etherium is about Blockchain that understands a general purpose programming language - Buterin likens it to a platform - similar to an IOS or Android - where applications can be created on the platform
Blockchain currently processes 3 transactions per second - will max out at 4
Etherium processes 5 will max out at 6
Current transactions - visa , IOT - is 100 of thousands per second - long way for crypto to replace - but it will!
Electric bikes/scooters changing how we live and work
Gogoro raises $300M for scootersScooter startup Gogoro announced that it has raised $300 million in a Series C funding round backed by Singapore’s Temasek, Generation Investment Management, and other new and existing investors. Gogoro, which develops both electric scooters and battery swapping infrastructure, says it has sold over 34,000 of its “smartscooters” to date. |
Monday, September 11, 2017
Helping the homeless in Detroit
Sunday, September 10, 2017
2050 - less jobs or more jobs ??
How many and what kind of jobs will be replaced by automation is one of the big debates of our time. Some projections seem dire: About 7.1 million jobs, with two-thirds of them in office and administration, will be lost because of labor market changes in coming years, according to the World Economic Forum.
Yet some economists suggest that automation can actually increase employment in the industries it transforms.
Less jobs or more jobs - one can be certain - they will be different jobs ..... and with the rate of new knowledge - the key is to be able to learn how to learn - and accept change.
What do you think?
Saturday, September 9, 2017
Have Hackers have won the Cyberwar? Does privacy exist?
The chances are is that your details are sitting on a list that you don't know about .
You may not know that person...... but they know you !!!!
- At Equifax names and personal details (including credit cards , emails etc ) of up to 143 million people in the United States (half the USA population) U.K. and Canada have been hacked ,
- One of Britain's largest retail franchises, CEX, disclosed it has been hit by a data breach that could have compromised the information of as many as 2 million customers – including personal details like names and addresses.
- Online spam bot - A security researcher in Paris has unearthed an open web server hosted in the Netherlands that contains as many as 711 million usernames and passwords
- London healthcare group - Bupa has suffered a data breach (13 July 2017) affecting 500,000 customers on its international health insurance plan.
- Zomato, which provides users with an online guide to restaurants, cafes and clubs, reported that data from 17 million users had been stolen, including email addresses and hashed passwords.
- Security researchers at the Kromtech Security Research Center discovered a massive database of 560 million login credentials which is believed to come from up to 10 popular online services such as LinkedIn and Dropbox, obtained during previous data breaches
- Payday loan company Wonga has fallen victim to a large data breach that could have hit as many as 245,000 of its customers including bank account numbers and sort codes
- A major breach of Three network customer upgrade database revealed last November is worse than the network operator initially thought, when their network was accessed using an employee login. They said 200,000 of their 9 million was compromised.
- Sportswear retailer Sports Direct failed to tell its entire workforce that they might have had their personal credentials stolen in an internal security breach
- Tesco Bank, the consumer finance wing of the British supermarket giant, froze its online operations – after as many as 20,000 customers had money stolen from their accounts.(up to 40'000 accounts compromised
- Accounting software provider , Sage could turn out to be one of the most important in UK data breach history if its scale is confirmed. According to the firm, the employee data of up to 280 UK customers representing a large number of individual users could be at risk - this could represent the entire UK population!
- Kiddicare's customers were getting spammy Sms's - and they realised their data was compromised - they played down the fact it had let names, addresses and contact details of up to 800,000 people
- CEO of TalkTalk initially struggled to confirm how many of its four million customers were affected after hackers exploited a reported weakness in the firm's website - the ceo said it was only a mere 157,000 (was one of them you?)
- A serious attack in which a hacker was able to get his or her hands on 1,163,996 credit and debit card records from online holiday firm Think W3
- two breaches at Yahoo -- the bigger one involved 1 billion accounts, the lesser impacted 500 million
- a hack at Myspace that involved 360 million accounts
And the list goes on!!!!
In my view, knowledge is no longer a valuable commodity. It's out there in abundance. It's how you use it that's valuable.
What do you think?
12 key takeouts of why Steve Jobs was successful
Why Steve Jobs was successful:-
- Focus
- Simplify - Make it simple - UX is key
- Create an ecosystem - end to end
- When behind, leapfrog - No CDS - straight to iTunes
- Put products before profit - r and d and innovation is key
- Don't be a slave to focus groups - trust your intuition
- Bend reality - make the impossible possible - find a way
- Push for perfection
- Have the brightest and the best - and work as a team
- Engage face to face - collaboration is key - shit happens when you connect and KLT
- Know the big picture and the tiniest details
- Be human and humourous - liberal arts:science and technology - the crazy ones that can think they can change the world are the ones that they invariably do
Monday, September 4, 2017
Wednesday, August 30, 2017
The AI pacman is gobbling up the medical and finance industries

